Economic Risk Index
A composite measure of macroeconomic stability, growth resilience, inflation pressure, labour market strength, inequality, productivity, investment conditions, and external vulnerability across 190+ markets — forming the Country Risk Index’s core economic dimension.
A representative selection of country scores across the economic risk spectrum. The full 190-country dataset is available on subscription.
Lowest economic risk
✓ Public| # | Country | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 93.6 | Very Low |
| 2 | Switzerland | 92.8 | Very Low |
| 3 | Denmark | 91.9 | Very Low |
| 4 | Norway | 91.2 | Very Low |
| 5 | Netherlands | 90.4 | Very Low |
| 6 | Ireland | 89.7 | Very Low |
| 7 | United States | 88.9 | Low |
| 8 | Germany | 87.8 | Low |
| 9 | Australia | 87.1 | Low |
| 10 | Canada | 86.5 | Low |
Highest economic risk
✓ Public| # | Country | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 190 | Venezuela | 7.8 | Very High |
| 189 | Lebanon | 9.4 | Very High |
| 188 | Zimbabwe | 10.6 | Very High |
| 187 | Sudan | 11.8 | Very High |
| 186 | Syria | 12.3 | Very High |
| 185 | Yemen | 13.7 | Very High |
| 184 | Haiti | 14.9 | Very High |
| 183 | Afghanistan | 16.1 | Very High |
| 182 | South Sudan | 17.4 | Very High |
| 181 | Myanmar | 18.2 | Very High |
Full Economic Risk Index · 190 countries
⬤ Subscription required| # | Country | Score | Growth | Inflation | Labour | Inequality | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sweden | 85.9 | 84.2 | 88.4 | 83.7 | 86.1 | ▲ 0.4 |
| 12 | Japan | 84.7 | 79.6 | 86.8 | 87.4 | 84.9 | ▼ 0.2 |
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A broad basket of macroeconomic vulnerability indicators
The Economic Risk Index captures the resilience and fragility of national economies without duplicating PoliData’s standalone Tariff & Trade Risk, Sovereign Risk, and Credit Risk indices.
Growth & Output
Real GDP growth, GDP per capita, output volatility, recession risk, sector concentration, and medium-term growth momentum.
Inflation & Price Stability
Headline inflation, core inflation, food and energy price pressure, inflation volatility, and inflation expectations where available.
Labour Market Strength
Unemployment, youth unemployment, labour force participation, wage pressure, informality, and employment resilience.
Household Resilience & Inequality
Income inequality, poverty rates, household consumption, cost-of-living stress, social vulnerability, and real wage dynamics.
Productivity & Competitiveness
Labour productivity, total factor productivity, innovation capacity, business environment, infrastructure quality, and human capital depth.
Investment & Capital Formation
Gross fixed capital formation, FDI inflows, domestic investment, savings rates, capital deepening, and investor confidence.
External Vulnerability
Current account balance, import cover, FX reserve adequacy, exchange-rate volatility, commodity dependence, and balance-of-payments pressure.
How the Economic Risk Index is built
The Economic Risk Index combines percentile-ranked indicators across core macroeconomic, household, productivity, investment, and external vulnerability categories. Higher scores indicate lower risk.
Macroeconomic Stability
GDP growth, inflation, output volatility, exchange-rate stability, and the economy’s exposure to cyclical shocks.
Growth Resilience
Medium-term growth trajectory, productivity performance, investment depth, diversification, and structural growth capacity.
Price & Monetary Conditions
Inflation pressure, interest-rate environment, real rates, monetary credibility, and sensitivity to food or energy shocks.
Labour & Household Conditions
Employment, wages, participation, youth unemployment, poverty, inequality, and household demand resilience.
Investment Climate
Domestic investment, FDI, capital formation, business confidence, infrastructure, skills, and ease of operating environment.
External Economic Resilience
Current account position, FX reserves, import coverage, exchange-rate volatility, commodity dependence, and exposure to external financing pressure.
Indicative sources: World Bank World Development Indicators, IMF World Economic Outlook, IMF International Financial Statistics, ILOSTAT, UNDP, OECD, UNCTAD, Penn World Table, World Inequality Database, national statistics offices.
Note: Tariff & Trade Risk, Sovereign Risk, and Credit Risk are treated as separate PoliData indices and are not duplicated inside this composite.
Get full access to the Economic Risk Index
190 countries. Seven economic dimensions covering macro stability, growth, inflation, labour markets, inequality, productivity, investment, and external vulnerability. Quarterly updates.