Industry

Aerospace & Defense

Aerospace and defense operate at the most politically sensitive intersection of commerce and statecraft. PoliData helps contractors, primes, suppliers, and investors navigate the export control regimes, procurement cycles, geopolitical shifts, and alliance dynamics that define market access in this sector.

Global defense spending by region · $B · Illustrative 0 200 400 600 NATO Eur Asia-Pac Mid East 2019 2021 2023 All
Defense budgets are rising globally following geopolitical escalation · Illustrative
$2.4T
Global defense spending in 2024 — a record high, driven by geopolitical escalation in Europe, the Indo-Pacific, and the Middle East.
180+
National export control regimes that aerospace and defense companies must navigate — each with different licensing requirements, end-use restrictions, and enforcement postures.
40+
New or significantly expanded defense procurement programmes launched globally since 2022 — creating the most active procurement environment in a generation.
The landscape

Defense markets are shaped by politics before they are shaped by capability

In aerospace and defense, the customer is almost always a government, the competitor landscape is politically managed, and the product often cannot move across a border without a licence. Alliance membership, bilateral relationships, export control classifications, sanctions designations, and political relationships with recipient governments all determine what can be sold, to whom, and on what terms. The commercial logic of A&D is inseparable from the political one — which is why political and regulatory intelligence is not optional in this sector, it is foundational.

Key challenges

What aerospace and defense clients bring to us

EXPORT CONTROLS

Export licensing and compliance intelligence

ITAR, EAR, and national export licensing regimes are complex, change frequently, and carry severe penalties for non-compliance — tracking their evolution is a continuous requirement.

GEOPOLITICAL

Alliance dynamics and partner country risk

Shifts in alliance relationships, diplomatic disputes, and changes in partner government can open or close export markets overnight — and need monitoring before contracts are signed.

PROCUREMENT

Defense procurement intelligence

Understanding the political and budgetary drivers behind procurement decisions — which programmes will survive budget cycles, which governments are serious buyers — is essential for commercial strategy.

SUPPLY CHAIN

Supply chain risk and critical components

Defense supply chains span politically sensitive markets. Critical components, rare earth elements, and dual-use materials require ongoing political risk monitoring to ensure resilience.

SPACE

Commercial space and satellite regulation

The rapid growth of commercial space is creating a new regulatory frontier — launch licensing, spectrum allocation, debris liability, and national security restrictions are all evolving in real time.

DUAL-USE

Dual-use technology and re-export risk

Commercial technologies with potential military applications face increasingly complex restrictions. Tracking dual-use designations and re-export controls is a growing compliance challenge for the sector.

Sub-sectors

Across the aerospace and defense landscape

Our work spans the full breadth of the sector — from commercial aviation and space to defense electronics and ground systems.

Commercial Aviation Defense Electronics & Systems Space & Satellite Unmanned Systems & Drones Cybersecurity & Intelligence Naval Defense Aerospace Manufacturing & MRO Defense Logistics & Support Launch Services Defense Investment & Private Equity
How we help

Our capabilities, applied to aerospace and defense

PoliData provides political risk intelligence, regulatory analysis, and market intelligence to aerospace and defense clients — focused on the commercial, regulatory, and geopolitical dimensions of the sector, not operational or weapons advisory.

Research

Thematic Reports

Alliance dynamics, defense procurement trends, export control evolution, and commercial space regulation — thematic research built around the political forces shaping A&D markets.

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Quantitative

Financial & Risk Modelling

Defense procurement market sizing, program risk modelling, and scenario analysis for investors and contractors evaluating long-cycle defense opportunities.

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Regulatory

Policy & Regulatory Analysis

Export control tracking, dual-use technology monitoring, defense acquisition law, and commercial space regulation — across the jurisdictions that matter to your business.

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Fieldwork

Primary Research & Interviews

Access to government procurement officials, defense attaches, alliance policy experts, and regulatory practitioners — for intelligence on where decisions are heading before they’re announced.

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Fieldwork

Polling & Survey Research

Public attitudes toward defense spending, alliance commitments, and security policy — essential context for defense companies operating in politically sensitive public environments.

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Advisory

Communications Strategy

Stakeholder mapping, government relations support, and narrative development for defense companies managing relationships with procurement bodies, regulators, and the public.

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Relevant indices

Data products relevant to aerospace and defense

Several PoliData indices are directly relevant to A&D sector decision-making — covering the political, regulatory, and supply chain risk dimensions of export markets and operating environments.

Country Risk Index

Composite political, economic, environmental, and technology risk scores for 190+ markets — the baseline for partner country assessment and export market viability.

Political Risk Index

Political stability, government effectiveness, and institutional quality scores — essential for contractors assessing the reliability of government customers and procurement commitments.

Supply Chain Risk Index

Political and operational risk across the supply chains that defense contractors depend on — covering component sourcing, rare earth exposure, and critical material vulnerability.

Sanctions Map

Real-time mapping of sanctions designations and export restrictions by country — supporting compliance teams and export licensing decisions across all major regulatory regimes.

Working on an aerospace or defense challenge?

Talk to our team about how PoliData’s political risk intelligence, regulatory tracking, and market research can support your organisation.