Industry

Automotive

The automotive sector is navigating the most politically charged transformation in its history. The EV transition, battery supply chain concentration, trade tariffs on Chinese vehicles, and widely divergent regulatory timelines across markets have made political and regulatory intelligence a core strategic requirement for every major automotive player.

EV share of new car sales · % · by market · Illustrative 100% 75% 50% 25% 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 90% 45% 28% 10% Norway China EU avg US
EV adoption divergence across markets creates uneven regulatory risk
30+
Countries have announced phase-out dates for internal combustion engine vehicle sales — each with different timelines, exemptions, and enforcement mechanisms.
60%
Of global lithium-ion battery production is controlled by Chinese firms — creating supply chain concentration risk that has no near-term structural solution.
100%+
Tariffs imposed on Chinese-made EVs by the US and EU in 2024 — raising the stakes of localisation decisions and market access strategy globally.
The landscape

The automotive transition is being driven by regulation more than by the market

The shift to electric vehicles is not primarily a consumer-led phenomenon — it is a regulatory one. ICE ban timelines, EV subsidies, emissions targets, charging infrastructure mandates, and tariff regimes are all policy instruments, and they vary dramatically by market. At the same time, the battery supply chain has created a geopolitical dependency that is reshaping trade relationships, triggering industrial policy responses, and exposing OEMs and suppliers to risks that sit well outside traditional automotive risk frameworks. Navigating this environment requires political intelligence, not just market analysis.

Key challenges

What automotive clients bring to us

EV TRANSITION

Regulatory timelines and ICE phase-out risk

ICE ban dates, EV mandate thresholds, and emissions regulations differ by country and are subject to political revision — OEMs and suppliers need a live, comparative regulatory picture to plan production and investment.

SUPPLY CHAIN

Battery supply chain and critical mineral risk

Lithium, cobalt, nickel, and manganese are concentrated in politically high-risk markets. Understanding supply chain exposure and alternative sourcing options requires sustained political risk monitoring.

TRADE

Tariffs, localisation, and market access

EV tariffs imposed by the US and EU on Chinese vehicles have triggered a global reconfiguration of where vehicles are manufactured and sold. Understanding which markets are open, and on what terms, is now a core strategic question.

MARKET ENTRY

Emerging market opportunity and risk

Southeast Asia, India, and the Middle East represent the next wave of automotive growth — but each involves distinct regulatory environments, localisation requirements, and political risk profiles.

AUTONOMOUS

Autonomous and connected vehicle regulation

Regulatory frameworks for autonomous vehicles vary from permissive to prohibitive across markets — and are changing rapidly as technology outpaces legislation.

CONSUMER

Consumer sentiment and EV acceptance

Public attitudes toward EVs, charging infrastructure, and climate policy vary significantly by market — shaping demand forecasts and the political viability of EV mandates themselves.

Sub-sectors

Across the automotive landscape

Our work spans the full automotive value chain — from OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers to EV specialists, charging infrastructure providers, and automotive investors.

Passenger Vehicle OEMs Commercial Vehicles Electric Vehicles Autonomous & Connected Vehicles Tier 1 & 2 Suppliers Battery & Powertrain Charging Infrastructure Fleet Management Automotive Finance & Leasing Automotive Investment & PE
How we help

Our capabilities, applied to automotive

Every PoliData capability is available to automotive clients — with sector-specific framing built around the regulatory, geopolitical, and consumer forces shaping the EV transition and beyond.

Research

Thematic Reports

EV policy horizon scanning, trade tariff analysis, battery supply chain risk, and market entry intelligence — thematic research built around the political forces reshaping automotive markets.

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Quantitative

Financial & Risk Modelling

EV market sizing, investment scenario models, and localisation cost-benefit frameworks — stress-tested against regulatory risk and tariff scenarios across multiple markets.

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Regulatory

Policy & Regulatory Analysis

ICE phase-out timeline tracking, EV mandate monitoring, emissions standards, autonomous vehicle regulation, and tariff regime analysis across your key markets.

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Fieldwork

Primary Research & Interviews

Access to regulators, government procurement officials, dealer network principals, and charging infrastructure operators — for ground-level intelligence on market conditions and regulatory direction.

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Fieldwork

Polling & Survey Research

Consumer attitudes toward EVs, charging infrastructure readiness, climate policy, and brand perception — essential for product strategy and market entry decisions in new geographies.

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Advisory

Communications Strategy

Stakeholder engagement and narrative development for automotive companies managing political exposure around factory transitions, workforce restructuring, and EV strategy.

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Relevant indices

Data products relevant to automotive clients

Several PoliData indices are directly relevant to automotive sector decision-making — covering the regulatory, supply chain, and environmental dimensions of markets where automotive companies operate and invest.

Country Risk Index

Composite political, economic, environmental, and technology risk scores across 190+ markets — the baseline for market entry and investment decisions.

Decarbonisation Index

The pace and credibility of decarbonisation policy by country — essential for understanding ICE ban enforceability and EV mandate implementation risk in each market.

Supply Chain Risk Index

Political and operational risk across the supply chains automotive companies depend on — particularly for battery minerals and semiconductor sourcing.

Trade & Tariff Risk Index

Tariff exposure and trade policy risk by country and sector — tracking the rapidly evolving automotive trade landscape including EV-specific tariff measures.

Navigating the automotive transition?

Talk to our team about how PoliData’s research, regulatory tracking, and data products can support your organisation.